One of the first things I did when I started LacrosseReference was to implement an Elo model to rank teams. For years, I've used the Elo model to calculate win probabilities for any matchup. I work hard to calibrate the model so that an 80% chance means that you should expect 8 wins and 2 losses.
Now, for the first time, I'm pairing my win probability models with the rise of lacrosse lines to uncover opportunities to capture value. If betting is part of your lacrosse fandom, my daily emails will help you gut-check your own opinions.